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Warming Increases the Risk of Civil War in Africa

 

Armed conflict within nations has had disastrous humanitarian consequences throughout much of the world. Here we undertake the first comprehensive examination of the potential impact of global climate change on armed conflict in sub-Saharan Africa. We find strong historical linkages between civil war and temperature in Africa, with warmer years leading to significant increases in the likelihood of war.

This article was originally published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS).

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